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Spatial epidemiological modelling of infection by Vibrio aestuarianus shows that connectivity and temperature control oyster mortality ArchiMer
Lupo, Coralie; Dutta, Bhagat Lal; Petton, Sebastien; Ezanno, P; Tourbiez, Delphine; Travers, Marie-agnes; Pernet, Fabrice; Bacher, Cedric.
Vibrio aestuarianus infection in oyster populations causes massive mortality, resulting in losses for oyster farmers. Such dynamics result from host-pathogen interactions and contagion through water-borne transmission. To assess the spatiotemporal spread of V. aestuarianus infection and associated oyster mortality at a bay scale, we built a mathematical model informed by experimental infection data at 2 temperatures and spatially dependent marine connectivity of oyster farms. We applied the model to a real system and tested the importance of each factor using a number of modelling scenarios. Results suggest that introducing V. aestuarianus in a fully susceptible adult oyster population in the bay would lead to the mortality of all farmed oysters over 6 to...
Tipo: Text Palavras-chave: Basic reproduction number; Crassostrea gigas; Hydrodynamics; Oyster disease; Sensitivity analysis; Vibrio aestuarianus.
Ano: 2020 URL: https://archimer.ifremer.fr/doc/00662/77459/79114.pdf
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When to Spray: a Time-Scale Calculus Approach to Controlling the Impact of West Nile Virus Ecology and Society
Thomas, Diana; Montclair State University; thomasdia@mail.montclair.edu; Weedermann, Marion; Dominican University; mweederm@dom.edu; Billings, Lora; Montclair State University; billingsl@mail.montclair.edu; Hoffacker, Joan; Clemson University; johoff@clemson.edu; Washington-Allen, Robert A; Texas A&M University; University of Virginia; Adjunct at University of Tennessee; washingtonra@mac.com.
Tipo: Peer-Reviewed Reports Palavras-chave: Basic reproduction number; Delay differential equation; Dynamic equations on a time scale; Population dynamics; West Nile Virus.
Ano: 2009
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